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Speaking Notes: Review of Economic Performance, October–December 2024

The Planning Institute of Jamaica’s Review of Economic Performance,
October–December 2024
Media Brief
February 19, 2025
1. Overview – Current Economic Context
Before I provide the details on economic performance, let me take this opportunity to remind you of the purpose of these quarterly economic estimates provided by the PIOJ. The PIOJ presents preliminary estimates on economic performance for each quarter, approximately 6 weeks following the end of the quarter being reviewed. This is based on the latest available information from major data providers.
This release of the preliminary estimate, is consistent with protocols in modern economies globally, where it is the common practice to release preliminary estimates, before the final official figures are published. In the case of Jamaica, the PIOJ releases the preliminary growth estimate within the first six weeks following the end of the quarter being reviewed, and STATIN releases the official GDP figures, at the end of the 3rd month following the quarter being reviewed.
The preliminary out-turn is used by various stakeholders, including our International Development Partners, the Private Sector, as well as the Government, for whom the magnitude and direction of sectoral performance is critical to inform planning and policy-related decisions.
Today, we are reporting an estimated contraction in Real Value Added of 1.8% for the October–December 2024 quarter, relative to the corresponding quarter of 2023. The estimated out-turn for the review quarter largely reflected the impact of the lingering effects of Hurricane Beryl from the previous quarter, coupled with Tropical Storm Rafael and other hydrological events during the review quarter. Combined, these shocks negatively impacted the performance of the Electricity & Water Supply, Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing, and the related Wholesale and Retail trade; Repair and Installation of Machinery & Equipment industries. Additionally, challenges faced by some airlines to provide adequate air seats to and from Jamaica stymied the performance of the Hotels & Restaurants and Other Services industries. READ MORE